Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute; Ministery Of Infrastructure And The Environment






Peer-Reviewed Publications


  1. M. De Felice, M. B. Soares, A. Alessandri, A. Troccoli, 2019: Scoping the potential usefulness of seasonal climate forecasts for solar power management, Accepted, 10.1016/j.renene.2019.03.134. link at open access preprint:
  2. G. Di Capua, M. Kretschmer, J Runge, A. Alessandri, R. Donner, B. van den Hurk, R. Vellore, R. Krishnan, and D. Coumou, 2019: Long-lead empirical forecasts of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall based on causal precursors. Accepted in Weather and Forecasting.
  3. A. Alessandri, M. De Felice, F. Catalano, J-Y. Lee, B. Wang, D-Y. Lee, J-H. Yoo, A. Weisenheimer, 2018: Grand European and Asian-Pacific multi-model seasonal forecasts: maximization of skill and of potential economical value to end-users, Clim. Dyn., 50: 2719. Please download pdf copy of the manuscript available here [*]

    [*] this is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Climate Dynamics. The final authenticated version is available online at:

  4. A. Alessandri, F. Catalano, M. De Felice, B. Van Den Hurk, F. Doblas Reyes, S. Boussetta, G. Balsamo, and P. Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability in EC-Earth, Clim. Dyn, 49: 1215. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3372-4, link to-readcube document

  5. F. Catalano, A. Alessandri, M. De Felice, Z. Zhu, R. B. Myneni, 2016: Observationally based analysis of land–atmosphere coupling, Earth Syst. Dynam., 7, 251-266, doi:10.5194/esd-7-251- 2016

  6. van den Hurk, B., Kim, H., Krinner, G., Seneviratne, S. I., Derksen, C., Oki, T., Douville, H., Colin, J., Ducharne, A., Cheruy, F., Viovy, N., Puma, M. J., Wada, Y., Li, W., Jia, B., Alessandri, A., Lawrence, D. M., Weedon, G. P., Ellis, R., Hagemann, S., Mao, J., Flanner, M. G., Zampieri, M., Materia, S., Law, R. M., and Sheffield, J., 2016: LS3MIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: the Land Surface, Snow and Soil moisture Model Intercomparison Project – aims, setup and expected outcome, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 2809-2832, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2809-2016.

  7. Cherchi A., H. Annamalai, S. Masina, A. Navarra, and A. Alessandri, 2015: 21st century projected summer mean climate in the Mediterranean interpreted through the monsoon-desert mechanism. Clim. Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2968-4

  8. Anav, · A., A De Marco,· C. Proietti · A. Alessandri, · A. Dell'Aquila, · I. Cionni, · P. Friedlingstein, · D. Khvorostyanov, · L. Menut, · E. Paoletti, · P. Sicard, · S. Sitch, ·and M. Vitale, 2015: Comparing concentration-based (AOT40) and stomatal uptake (PODY) metrics for ozone risk assessment to European forests, Global Change Biol., 22(4), 1608-1627, doi:10.1111/gcb.13138

  9. Alessandri A, A. Borrelli, A. Cherchi, J-Y. Lee, B. Wang, S. Materia, and A. Navarra, 2015: Prediction of Indian summer monsoon onset using dynamical sub-seasonal forecasts. MWR, 143, 778–793, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00187.1.

  10. Mariotti A., Y. Pan, N. Zeng, and A. Alessandri,  2015: Long-term climate change in the Mediterranean region in the midst of decadal variability. Clim. Dyn., 44, 1437-1456.

  11. Alessandri A., M. De Felice , N. Zeng , A. Mariotti , Y. Pan , A. Cherchi , J-Y. Lee , B. Wang , K-J. Ha , P. Ruti, and V. Artale, 2014: Robust assessment of the expansion and retreat of Mediterranean climate in the 21stcentury. Nature Sci. Rep., Nature Sci. Rep., 4, 7211, doi:10.1038/srep07211.

  12. De Felice, M, A. Alessandri, and F. Catalano, 2014: Seasonal Climate Forecasts for medium-term Electricity Demand Forecasting. Applied Energy, doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.10.030.

  13. Materia, S., A. Borrelli, A. Bellucci, A. Alessandri, P. Di Pietro, P. Athanasiadis, A. Navarra, and S. Gualdi, 2014: Impact of atmosphere and land surface initial conditions on seasonal forecast of global surface temperature. J. Clim., . Clim., 27, 9253–9271. doi:

  14. Hye-In Jeong, Joong-Bae Ahn, June-Yi Lee, Andrea Alessandri, and Harry H. Hendon, 2014: Interdecadal Change of Interannual Variability and Predictability of Two Types of ENSO. Clim. Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2127-3, 2014.

  15. Jia, X, Lee J-Y, Alessandri A., and Ha K-J, 2013: Interdecadal change in the Northern Hemisphere seasonal climate prediction skill: Part I. The leading forced mode of atmospheric circulation. Clim. Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1988-1, 2013.

  16. Lee, D. Y., Ahn, J.-B., Ashok, K. and Alessandri, A., 2013: Improvement of grand multi-model ensemble prediction skills for the coupled models of APCC/ENSEMBLES using a climate filter. Atmosph. Sci. Lett., 14: 139–145. doi: 10.1002/asl2.430

  17. M. De Felice, A. Alessandri, and P. M. Ruti, 2013: “Electricity Demand Forecasting over Italy: Potential Benefits using Numerical Weather Prediction models,” Electric Power Systems Research, vol. 104, pp. 71-79.

  18. Alessandri A., P.G. Fogli, M. Vichi, and N. Zeng, 2012: Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in future scenarios: atmospheric energy and water balance perspective, Earth Syst. Dynam., 3, 199–212.

  19. Alessandri A., A. Borrelli, A. Navarra, A. Arribas, M. Déqué, P. Rogel, and A. Weisheimer, 2011: Evaluation of probabilistic quality and value of the ENSEMBLES multi-model seasonal forecasts: comparison with DEMETER. Mon. Weather Rev., 139 (2), 581-607, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3417.1

  20. Alessandri A., A. Borrelli, S. Gualdi, E. Scoccimarro, and S. Masina, 2011: Tropical cyclone count forecasting using a dynamical Seasonal Prediction System: sensitivity to improved ocean initialization, J. Climate, 24(12), 2963-2982. doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3585.1.

  21. M. Vichi, E. Manzini, P.G. Fogli, A. Alessandri, L. Patara, E. Scoccimarro, S. Masina, and A. Navarra, 2011: Global and regional ocean carbon uptake and climate change: Sensitivity to an aggressive mitigation scenario. Clim. Dyn., 37(9-10), 1929-1947, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1079-0.

  22. Wang, G., Dolman, A. J., and Alessandri, A, 2011.: A summer climate regime over Europe modulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 57-64, doi:10.5194/hess-15-57-2011.

  23. Alessandri A., A. Borrelli,  S. Masina, A.F. Carril, P. Di Pietro, A.F. Carril, A. Cherchi, S. Gualdi and A. Navarra, 2010: The INGV-CMCC Seasonal Prediction System: Improved Ocean Initial Conditions, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138 (7), 2930-2952 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3178.1.

  24. Cherchi A., A. Alessandri, S. Masina, and A. Navarra, 2011: Effects of increased CO2 levels on monsoon circulations. Climate Dynamics 37(1-2) 83-101 , doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0801-7.

  25. Materia S, Dirmeyer PA, Guo Z, Alessandri A, Navarra A, 2010. The sensitivity of simulated river discharge to land surface representation and meteorological forcings. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 11 (2), 334-351.

  26. Weisheimer, A., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Palmer, T. N., Alessandri, A., Arribas, A., Déqué, M., Keenlyside, N., MacVean, M., Navarra, A., Rogel, P., 2009: ENSEMBLES: A new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions--Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs. Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 36, No. 21, L21711. doi:

  27. Alessandri A., e  A. Navarra, 2008:  On the coupling between vegetation and rainfall inter-annual anomalies: possible contributions to seasonal rainfall predictability over land areas, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02718, doi:10.1029/2007GL032415.

  28. Alessandri A., S. Gualdi,  J. Polcher, e  A. Navarra, 2007: Effects of Land Surface and Vegetation on the Boreal Summer Surface Climate of a GCM. J. Climate, 20 (2),  255-278.

  29. Palmer T. N. , A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. Délécluse, M. Déqué, E. Diez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Guérémy, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, m. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres, M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European Multi-Model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction (DEMETER). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 853-872.

  30. Gualdi S., A. Alessandri, and A. Navarra, 2004: Impact of atmospheric horizontal resolution on ENSO forecasts. Tellus A, 57(3), 357-374.