Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute; Ministery Of Infrastructure And The Environment

Publications, presentations and other activities
Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil
2015
by F.E.L. Otto (U Oxford, Oxford, UK), C.A.S. Coelho (CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil), A. King (U Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia), E. Coughlan de Perez (IRI and Red Cross / Red Crescent Climate Centre), Y. Wada (Universiteit Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands)G.J. van Oldenborgh (KNMI)R.J. Haarsma (KNMI)K. Haustein (U Oxford, Oxford, UK)P. Uhe (U Oxford, Oxford, UK)M. van Aalst (red Cross / Red Crescent Climate centre, Den Haag)J.A. Aravequia (CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil)W. Almeida (CPTEC, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil)H. Cullen (Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, USA)

Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is not found to be a major influence on the hazard, whereas increasing population and water consumption increased vulnerability.

Bibliographic data
Otto, F.E.L., C.A.S. Coelho, A. King, E. Coughlan de Perez, Y. Wada, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R.J. Haarsma, K. Haustein, P. Uhe, M. van Aalst, J.A. Aravequia, W. Almeida and H. Cullen, Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2015, 96, 12, S35-S40, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.1.
Abstract (html)  Complete text (pdf: 3 MB)