A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)
by E.S.P.R. Martins (FUNCEME, Brazil), C.A.S. Coelho (National Institute for Space Research, Brazil), R. Haarsma (KNMI), F.E.L. Otto (University of Oxford), A.D. King (University of Melbourne)G.J. van Oldenborgh (KNMI)S.F. Kew (KNMI)S.Y. Philip (KNMI)F.C. Vasconceles Junior (FUNCEME, Brazil)H. Cullen (Climate Central)
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, we could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.
Martins, E.S.P.R., C.A.S. Coelho, R. Haarsma, F.E.L. Otto, A.D. King, G.J. van Oldenborgh, S.F. Kew, S.Y. Philip, F.C. Vasconceles Junior and H. Cullen, A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)