Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute; Ministery Of Infrastructure And The Environment

Publications, presentations and other activities
Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-Temporal Scales
2020
by N.J. Leach (AOPP, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK), S. Li (ECI, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK), S. Sparrow (e-Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK), G.J. van Oldenborgh (KNMI), F.C. Lott (Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK)A. Weisheimer (AOPP, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK and ECMWF, Reading)M.R. Allen (AOPP & ECI, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK)

We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.

Bibliographic data
Leach, N.J., S. Li, S. Sparrow, G.J. van Oldenborgh, F.C. Lott, A. Weisheimer and M.R. Allen, Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-Temporal Scales
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2020, 101, S41-S46, doi:BAMS-D-19-0201.1.
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